Match ☆ 01 Jun 1983
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 1982 Quarter-final
PAOK Thessaloniki advance · agg 3–0
1st leg: Panargiakos 0–1 PAOK Thessaloniki · 18 May 1983 · Agg 3–0 PAOK Thessaloniki advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure PAOK Thessaloniki Panargiakos
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 14 5
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 15 5
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 1.65 1.36
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 10.0% 27.3%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 13.0% 27.3%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 15.9% 27.3%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 19
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 3.02

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 1 Jun 1983, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
PAOK Thessaloniki 1,876
Panargiakos 1,489
Rating gap +452 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 14.0% 300+ · 22,505 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.