Match ☆ 10 Apr 1962
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 1961 Round of 32
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure AEK Athens Kalamata
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 3 —
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 5 —
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.81 —
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 30.0% —
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 25.0% —
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 25.0% —

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 10 Apr 1962, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Kalamata has no earlier match in the database, so its column is empty. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
AEK Athens 1,917
Kalamata 1,551
Rating gap +431 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 14.0% 300+ · 22,520 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.