Match ☆ 06 Apr 1958
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 1957 Round of 16
Iraklis Thessaloniki advance · agg 2–0
1st leg: Niki Volos 0–0 Iraklis Thessaloniki · 06 Apr 1958 · Agg 2–0 Iraklis Thessaloniki advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Iraklis Thessaloniki Niki Volos
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 6 6
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.27 0.17
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 27.3% 16.7%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 27.3% 16.7%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 27.3% 16.7%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 2
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.44

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 6 Apr 1958, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Iraklis Thessaloniki 1,577
Niki Volos 1,493
Rating gap +148 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.3% 100–149 · 86,951 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.