Match ☆ 16 Jul 2008
UKR · Ukrainian Cup · 2008 Preliminary
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Kremin Kremenchuk Bukovyna Chernivtsi
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 6 4
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.13
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 17.1% 13.3%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 17.1% 13.3%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 17.1% 13.3%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 1
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.13

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 16 Jul 2008, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Kremin Kremenchuk 1,470
Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1,583
Rating gap -48 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 26.3% 25–49 · 72,955 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.