Match ☆ 11 Mar 2000
UKR · Ukrainian Cup · 1999 Round of 32
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Torpedo Zaporizhzhia Dynamo Kyiv
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 7
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 5 15
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 1.16
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 18.4% 16.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 18.4% 17.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 18.4% 20.6%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 7
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 1.16

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 11 Mar 2000, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Torpedo Zaporizhzhia 1,450
Dynamo Kyiv 1,810
Rating gap -295 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 20.6% 200–299 · 49,470 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.