Match ☆ 10 May 2015
GRE · Super League Greece · 2014
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Niki Volos OFI Crete
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 25 12
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 25 20
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 4.05 2.02
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 12.0% 12.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 19.0% 20.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 19.1% 22.4%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 37
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 6.07

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 10 May 2015, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Niki Volos 1,493
OFI Crete 1,685
Rating gap -127 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.3% 100–149 · 86,956 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.