Match ☆ 26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
ENG · League One · 2026
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Milton Keynes Dons Bromley
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 19 15
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.32
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 36.0% 30.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 30.0% 33.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 24.1% 27.8%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 1
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.32

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 26 Sep 2026, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Milton Keynes Dons 1,583
Bromley 1,558
Rating gap +90 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.2% 75–99 · 64,797 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.