Match ☆ 15 Aug 1997
ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup · 1997 Qualifying · Leg 1
Att. 4,500
2nd leg: Ararat Yerevan 0–2 Dinamo Batumi · 28 Aug 1997 · Agg 3–2 Ararat Yerevan advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Dinamo Batumi Ararat Yerevan
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 4
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 2 6
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.25 0.71
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 25.0% 18.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 25.0% 17.7%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 25.0% 17.7%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 5
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.96

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 15 Aug 1997, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Dinamo Batumi 1,504
Ararat Yerevan 1,397
Rating gap +172 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 23.7% 150–199 · 53,229 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.