Match ☆ 05 Nov 1987
ITL · UEFA Cup Winners' Cup · 1987
Olympique de Marseille advance · agg 7–0
Att. 22,000
1st leg: Olympique de Marseille 4–0 Hajduk Split · 22 Oct 1987 · Agg 7–0 Olympique de Marseille advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Hajduk Split Olympique de Marseille
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 3 2
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 10 4
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.36 0.22
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 12.0% 11.1%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 11.8% 11.1%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 11.8% 11.1%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 5
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.58

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 5 Nov 1987, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Hajduk Split 1,578
Olympique de Marseille 1,844
Rating gap -201 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 20.6% 200–299 · 49,487 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.